Tuesday, August 15, 2006

Gates (foundation) in a rush? Oh no!

The Gates' foundation is rushing to spend the money that Warren Buffett is giving it. This is a scary prospect.

Bill Gates has been pretty mediocre about predicting the future. In fact, his most well-known prediction is the hugely wrong '640K of memory should be enough for anybody.' [1]
He failed to signal the importance of the Internet in his book The Road Ahead despite it coming out a little bit before the popularization of the Internet.

Microsoft's success is due more to relentless tactical warfare, but the downside of that is the company's shady monopolistic behavior and technically unsound decisions. For example, Microsoft pushed ActiveX controls in order to maintain the supremacy of the Windows desktop even for Internet applications. However, it did not do a thorough job of implementing ActiveX in a secure manner. That's why we still see bugs for Internet Explorer due to ActiveX.

The world does not need to see Bill Gates in a rush to vanquish enemies again. Even if the enemies are malaria and AIDS instead of Sun and Netscape, Gates should move deliberately and carefully. There have been mistakes by philanthropists in the past, and we do not want to look back in 20 years and rue the decisions made by the Gates foundation.

[1] A Wired News article indicates that he didn't make this statement, but it does agree that he's not much of a visionary.